The easiest way to understand how implied odds work is with an example. Let’s consider a small fixed limit Texas Holdem game. At these tables, normally most of the players are deep-stacked, a few dollars here represent an excellent bankroll. Due to the limited nature of the betting, all the skill-related twists like bluffs and putting pressure on your opponents are not as affective.
Schooling runs rampant and basic tight-aggressive play gains in value, because – provided your opponents do make mistakes – it is the only way to squeeze money out of these tables. Tight aggressive play is based on the exploitation of the implied odds.
Whenever you’re well bankrolled, you can afford to take a look at a number of flops – after thorough starting hand selection, of course – in order to see whether or not you’ll be hit by them, without serious consequences towards the size of your stack. Given the fact that your hand is around 70% made on the flop, you’ll be able to decide what to do once there.
If you do get hit and you believe that your hand is the best hand at the table, your objective becomes, getting as many chips as possible, into the pot. If the flop misses you, you fold. This is the exploitation of implied odds. As long as you can afford to see your flops, you give yourself a chance to hit a good hand and you’re able to play in a healthy, tight-aggressive way.
To understand the mechanisms behind the implied odds, let’s take a closer look at how set mining works. In most cash games it pays to play small pocket pairs, at least right up to the flop. Seeing a flop on such a starting hand gives players the possibility to hit a set on the flop. A set is an extremely solid hand especially in short handed games, one that is bound to earn you a nice pot, even more so because two thirds of it are concealed in your pocket, rendering its reading quite impossible. You will lose money on the flops that do not bring you a set, but the theory goes that the few times you do catch your trips you’ll more than make up for those losses.
Depending on the type of players you’re faced with, you should play your pocket pairs either passively or aggressively. If you’re faced with a bunch of rocks, you’ll be able to limp along and see your flops cheap, thus minimizing your losses. If you’re faced with an aggressive bunch however, putting in a pre-flop raise might give you more opportunities to win the hand than limping along. In this case, limping is bound to cost you a lot of money too, so you might as well use that money to put pressure on your opponents.
Regardless of how you decide to exploit your implied odds, you should know that this is what solid poker strategy is based upon. Don’t forget to sign up for a rakeback deal too, as it will further minimize the losses you incur on the fruitless flops that you see.
In fact, rakeback will give your EV a tiny boost on every hand that you play, regardless of whether it turns out to be a winning or a losing one.
The technique of exploiting the implied odds is never enough by itself. You also need to read your opponents and decide how to approach your implied odds based on those reads.
